J. Hydrol. Hydromech., Vol. 68, No. 2, 2020, p. 99 - 110, doi: 10.2478/johh-2020-0006
Scientific Paper, English
Yuexiu Wen, Caihong Hu, Guodong Zhang, Shengqi Jian: Response of the parameters of excess infiltration and excess storage model to
land use cover change
Full Text in PDF 93 DOWNLOADS
- The Loess Plateau is the main source of water in Yellow River, China. After 1980s, the Yellow river water
presented a significant reduction, what caused the decrease of the Yellow river discharge had been debated in academic
circles. We proceeded with runoff generation mechanisms to explain this phenomenon. We built saturation excess runoff
and infiltration excess runoff generation mechanisms for rainfall–runoff simulation in Jingle sub-basin of Fen River
basin on the Loess Plateau, to reveal the influence of land use change on flood processes and studied the changes of
model parameters under different underlying conditions. The results showed that the runoff generation mechanism was
mainly infiltration-excess overland flow, but the flood events of saturation-excess overland flow had an increasing trend
because of land use cover change (the increase of forestland and grassland areas and the reduction of cultivated land).
Some of the model parameters had physical significances,such as water storage capacity (WM), infiltration capacity (f),
evapotranspiration (CKE), soil permeability coefficient (k) and index of storage capacity distribution curve (n) showed
increasing trends, and index of infiltration capacity distribution curve (m) showed a decreasing trend. The above results
proved the changes of runoff generation mechanism from the perspective of model parameters in Jingle sub-basin, which
can provide a new perspective for understanding the discharge reduction in the Yellow River basin.
KEY WORDS: Land use; Saturation excess and infiltration excess model; Model parameters; Fen River.
Address:
- Yuexiu Wen, College of Water Conservancy & Environment, Zhengzhou University, Science road 100, Zhengzhou, China.
- Caihong Hu, College of Water Conservancy & Environment, Zhengzhou University, Science road 100, Zhengzhou, China.
- Guodong Zhang, Henan Yellow River Hydrological Survey and Design Institute, Chengdong road 100, Zhengzhou, China.
- Shengqi Jian, College of Water Conservancy & Environment, Zhengzhou University, Science road 100, Zhengzhou, China. (Corresponding author. Tel.:+86 18603814081 Fax.: Email: jiansq@zzu.edu.cn)
J. Hydrol. Hydromech., Vol. 68, No. 2, 2020, p. 111 - 118, doi: 10.2478/johh-2020-0007
Scientific Paper, English
Steffen Beck-Broichsitter, Saskia Ruth, Richard Schröder, Heiner Fleige, Horst H. Gerke, Rainer Horn: Simultaneous determination of wettability and shrinkage in an organic residue
amended loamy topsoil
Full Text in PDF 49 DOWNLOADS
- In agricultural land use, organic residues such as compost, digestate, and sewage sludge are discussed as costeffective
soil conditioner that may improve the water holding capacity and crop available soil moisture. The objective of
this study is to determine the effect of application of digestates with different compositions in maize, sugar beet and
winter wheat, compost of shrub debris and sewage sludge on shrinkage behaviour and contact angle of till-derived loamy
topsoil of a Haplic Luvisol under agricultural use. Novelty is the simultaneous determination of contact angle and
shrinkage of soils amended with digestates composed of different composition in maize, sugar beet and winter wheat,
compost of shrub debris and sewage sludge. The results suggest that the application of organic residues impacts the air
capacity, while the contact angles remained in the subcritical range between > 0° and < 90°. The relationship between
CA values and moisture ratios, ϑ, during proportional shrinkage was positive and linear (r2 of 0.98) and negative during
residual- and zero-shrinkage (r2 of 0.93).
KEY WORDS: Luvisol; Organic residues; Contact angle; Wettability; Shrinkage.
Address:
- Steffen Beck-Broichsitter, Research Area 1 "Landscape Functioning”, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF), Eberswalder Str. 84, 15374
Müncheberg, Germany. (Corresponding author. Tel.:+49 33432 82412 Fax.: Email: steffen.beck-broichsitter@zalf.de)
- Saskia Ruth, Institute of Plant Nutrition and Soil Science, Christian-Albrechts-University Kiel, Hermann-Rodewaldstr. 2, 24118 Kiel, Germany.
- Richard Schröder, Institute of Plant Nutrition and Soil Science, Christian-Albrechts-University Kiel, Hermann-Rodewaldstr. 2, 24118 Kiel, Germany.
- Heiner Fleige, Institute of Plant Nutrition and Soil Science, Christian-Albrechts-University Kiel, Hermann-Rodewaldstr. 2, 24118 Kiel, Germany.
- Horst H. Gerke, Research Area 1 "Landscape Functioning”, Leibniz Centre for Agricultural Landscape Research (ZALF), Eberswalder Str. 84, 15374
Müncheberg, Germany.
- Rainer Horn, Institute of Plant Nutrition and Soil Science, Christian-Albrechts-University Kiel, Hermann-Rodewaldstr. 2, 24118 Kiel, Germany.
J. Hydrol. Hydromech., Vol. 68, No. 2, 2020, p. 119 - 127, doi: 10.2478/johh-2020-0005
Scientific Paper, English
Artur Bartosik: Validation of friction factor predictions in vertical slurry flows with coarse
particles
Full Text in PDF 64 DOWNLOADS
- The paper presents validation of a mathematical model describing the friction factor by comparing the
predicted and measured results in a broad range of solid concentrations and mean particle diameters. Three different
types of solids, surrounded by water as a carrier liquid, namely Canasphere, PVC, and Sand were used with solids
density from 1045 to 2650 kg/m3, and in the range of solid concentrations by volume from 0.10 to 0.45. All solid
particles were narrowly sized with mean particle diameters between 1.5 and 3.4 mm. It is presented that the model
predicts the friction factor fairly well. The paper demonstrates that solid particle diameter plays a crucial role for the
friction factor in a vertical slurry flow with coarse solid particles. The mathematical model is discussed in reference to
damping of turbulence in such flows. As the friction factor is below the friction for water it is concluded that it is
possible that the effect of damping of turbulence is included in the KB function, which depends on the Reynolds number.
KEY WORDS: Flow with coarse particles; Particle-wall stress; Modelling of vertical flow.
Address:
- Artur Bartosik, Faculty of Management and Computer Modelling, Kielce University of Technology, Al. Tusiaclecia P.P. 7, 25-314 Kielce, Poland. (Corresponding author. Tel.: Fax.: Email: artur.bartosik@tu.kielce.pl)
J. Hydrol. Hydromech., Vol. 68, No. 2, 2020, p. 128 - 133, doi: 10.2478/johh-2020-0017
Information, English
Ján Szolgay, Günter Blöschl, Zoltán Gribovszki, Juraj Parajka: Hydrology of the Carpathian Basin: interactions of climatic drivers and
hydrological processes on local and regional scales – HydroCarpath Research
Full Text in PDF 67 DOWNLOADS
- The paper introduces the Special Section on the Hydrology of the Carpathians in this issue. It is the result of
an initiative of the Department of Land and Water Resources Management of the Slovak University of Technology in
Bratislava, the Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management of the TU Vienna and the Institute
of Geomatics and Civil Engineering of the University of Sopron to allow young hydrologists in the Carpathian Basin
(and from outside) to present their research and re-network on the emerging topics of the hydrology of the Carpathians at
the HydroCarpath Conferences since 2012.
KEY WORDS: Carpathian Basin; Evapotranspiration; Runoff coefficient; Hydrological regime; CN number; Climate
change.
Address:
- Ján Szolgay, Department of Land and Water Resources Management, Slovak University of Technology, Radlinského 11, 810 05, Bratislava, Slovakia. (Corresponding author. Tel.: Fax.: Email: jan.szolgay@stuba.sk)
- Günter Blöschl, Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, TU Wien, Karlsplatz 13, A-1040 Vienna, Austria.
- Zoltán Gribovszki, Institute of Geomatics and Civil Engineering, University of Sopron, Bajcsy-Zsilinszky utca 4., Sopron, H-9400, Hungary.
- Juraj Parajka, Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, TU Wien, Karlsplatz 13, A-1040 Vienna, Austria.
J. Hydrol. Hydromech., Vol. 68, No. 2, 2020, p. 134 - 143, doi: 10.2478/johh-2020-0009
Scientific Paper, English
Patrick Hogan, Juraj Parajka, Lee Heng, Peter Strauss, Günter Blöschl: Partitioning evapotranspiration using stable isotopes and Lagrangian dispersion
analysis in a small agricultural catchment
Full Text in PDF 57 DOWNLOADS
- Measuring evaporation and transpiration at the field scale is complicated due to the heterogeneity of the environment,
with point measurements requiring upscaling and field measurements such as eddy covariance measuring only
the evapotranspiration. During the summer of 2014 an eddy covariance device was used to measure the evapotranspiration
of a growing maize field at the HOAL catchment. The stable isotope technique and a Lagrangian near field theory
(LNF) were then utilized to partition the evapotranspiration into evaporation and transpiration, using the concentration
and isotopic ratio of water vapour within the canopy. The stable isotope estimates of the daily averages of the fraction of
evapotranspiration (Ft) ranged from 43.0–88.5%, with an average value of 67.5%, while with the LNF method, Ft was
found to range from 52.3–91.5% with an average value of 73.5%. Two different parameterizations for the turbulent statistics
were used, with both giving similar R2 values, 0.65 and 0.63 for the Raupach and Leuning parameterizations, with
the Raupach version performing slightly better. The stable isotope method demonstrated itself to be a more robust method,
returning larger amounts of useable data, however this is limited by the requirement of much more additional data.
KEY WORDS: Evapotranspiration partitioning; Stable isotopes; Lagrangian dispersion theory.
Address:
- Patrick Hogan, Centre for Water Resource Systems, TU Wien, Karlsplatz 13, 1040 Vienna, Austria. (Corresponding author. Tel.:+43-1-58801-406664 Fax.: Email: hogan@waterresources.at)
- Juraj Parajka, Centre for Water Resource Systems, TU Wien, Karlsplatz 13, 1040 Vienna, Austria. Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, TU Wien, Karlsplatz 13/222, 1040 Vienna, Austria.
- Lee Heng, Soil and Water Management and Crop Nutrition Subprogramme, Joint FAO/IAEA Division of Nuclear Techniques in Food and
Agriculture, International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), 1400 Vienna, Austria.
- Peter Strauss, Institute for Land and Water Management Research, Federal Agency for Water Management, Pollnbergstrasse 1, 3252 Petzenkirchen,
Austria.
- Günter Blöschl, Centre for Water Resource Systems, TU Wien, Karlsplatz 13, 1040 Vienna, Austria. Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, TU Wien, Karlsplatz 13/222, 1040 Vienna, Austria.
J. Hydrol. Hydromech., Vol. 68, No. 2, 2020, p. 144 - 154, doi: 10.2478/johh-2020-0012
Scientific Paper, English
Babar Mujtaba, Hana Hlaváčiková, Michal Danko, Joao L.M.P. de Lima, Ladislav Holko: The role of stony soils in hillslope and catchment runoff formation
Full Text in PDF 52 DOWNLOADS
- The role of stony soils in runoff response of mountain catchments is rarely studied. We have compared simulated
response of stony soils with measured catchment runoff for events caused by rains of small and high intensities in
the mountain catchment of the Jalovecký Creek, Slovakia. The soil water response was simulated for three sites with
stoniness 10–65% using the Hydrus-2D single porosity model. Soil hydraulic parameters employed in the modelling, i. e.
the saturated hydraulic conductivity and parameters of the soil water retention curves, were obtained by two approaches,
namely by the Representative Elementary Volume approach (REVa) and by the inverse modelling with Hydrus-1D
model (IMa). The soil water outflow hydrographs simulated by Hydrus-2D were compared to catchment runoff hydrographs
by analysing their skewness and peak times. Measured catchment runoff hydrographs were similar to simulated
soil water outflow hydrographs for about a half of rainfall events. Interestingly, most of them were caused by rainfalls
with small intensity (below 2.5 mm/10 min). The REV approach to derive soil hydraulic parameters for soil water outflow
modelling provided more realistic shapes of soil water outflow hydrographs and peak times than the IMa approach.
KEY WORDS: Lateral subsurface flow; Mountain catchment; Soil water flow modelling.
Address:
- Babar Mujtaba, MARE - Marine and Environmental Sciences Centre, Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Science and Technology,
Pólo II-Universidade de Coimbra, Rua Luís Reis Santos, 3030-788 Coimbra, Portugal. (Corresponding author. Tel.:+351912322544 Fax.: Email: uc2015158720@student.uc.pt)
- Hana Hlaváčiková, Slovak Hydrometeorological Institute, Jeséniova 17, 833 15 Bratislava, Slovak Republic.
- Michal Danko, Institute of Hydrology of the Slovak Academy of Sciences, Dúbravská cesta 9, 841 04 Bratislava, Slovak Republic.
- Joao L.M.P. de Lima, MARE - Marine and Environmental Sciences Centre, Department of Civil Engineering, Faculty of Science and Technology,
Pólo II-Universidade de Coimbra, Rua Luís Reis Santos, 3030-788 Coimbra, Portugal.
- Ladislav Holko, Institute of Hydrology of the Slovak Academy of Sciences, Dúbravská cesta 9, 841 04 Bratislava, Slovak Republic.
J. Hydrol. Hydromech., Vol. 68, No. 2, 2020, p. 155 - 169, doi: 10.2478/johh-2020-0008
Scientific Paper, English
Xiaofei Chen, Juraj Parajka, Borbála Széles, Peter Strauss, Günter Blöschl: Controls on event runoff coefficients and recession coefficients for different
runoff generation mechanisms identified by three regression methods
Full Text in PDF 70 DOWNLOADS
- The event runoff coefficient (Rc) and the recession coefficient (tc) are of theoretical importance for understanding
catchment response and of practical importance in hydrological design. We analyse 57 event periods in the period
2013 to 2015 in the 66 ha Austrian Hydrological Open Air Laboratory (HOAL), where the seven subcatchments are
stratified by runoff generation types into wetlands, tile drainage and natural drainage. Three machine learning algorithms
(Random forest (RF), Gradient Boost Decision Tree (GBDT) and Support vector machine (SVM)) are used to estimate
Rc and tc from 22 event based explanatory variables representing precipitation, soil moisture, groundwater level and season.
The model performance of the SVM algorithm in estimating Rc and tc is generally higher than that of the other two
methods, measured by the coefficient of determination R2, and the performance for Rc is higher than that for tc. The relative
importance of the explanatory variables for the predictions, assessed by a heatmap, suggests that Rc of the tile drainage
systems is more strongly controlled by the weather conditions than by the catchment state, while the opposite is true
for natural drainage systems. Overall, model performance strongly depends on the runoff generation type.
KEY WORDS: Machine learning; Event runoff analyses; Event runoff coefficient; Recession coefficient; Runoff generation.
Address:
- Xiaofei Chen, TU Wien, Centre for Water Resource Systems, Karlsplatz 13, A-1040, Vienna, Austria. (Corresponding author. Tel.: Fax.: Email: chen@waterresources.at)
- Juraj Parajka, TU Wien, Centre for Water Resource Systems, Karlsplatz 13, A-1040, Vienna, Austria. TU Wien, Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Karlsplatz 13, A-1040 Vienna, Austria.
- Borbála Széles, TU Wien, Centre for Water Resource Systems, Karlsplatz 13, A-1040, Vienna, Austria.
- Peter Strauss, Federal Agency for Water Management, Institute for Land and Water Management Research, A-3252 Petzenkirchen, Austria.
- Günter Blöschl, TU Wien, Centre for Water Resource Systems, Karlsplatz 13, A-1040, Vienna, Austria. TU Wien, Institute of Hydraulic Engineering and Water Resources Management, Karlsplatz 13, A-1040 Vienna, Austria.
J. Hydrol. Hydromech., Vol. 68, No. 2, 2020, p. 170 - 179, doi: 10.2478/johh-2020-0004
Scientific Paper, English
Silvia Kohnová, Agnieszka Rutkowska, Kazimierz Banasik, Kamila Hlavčová: The L-moment based regional approach to curve numbers for Slovak and
Polish Carpathian catchments
Full Text in PDF 80 DOWNLOADS
- The main objective of the paper was to propose and evaluate the performance of a regional approach to
estimate CN values and to test the impact of different initial abstraction ratios. The curve number (CN) was analyzed for
five Slovak and five Polish catchments situated in the Carpathian Mountains. The L-moment based method of Hosking
and Wallis and the ANOVA test were combined to delineate the area in two homogenous regions of catchments with
similar CN values. The optimization condition enabled the choice of the initial abstraction ratio, which provided the
smallest discrepancy between the tabulated and estimated CNs and the antecedent runoff conditions. The homogeneity in
the CN within the regions of four Slovak and four Polish catchments was revealed. Finally, the regional CN was proposed
to be at the 50% quantile of the regional theoretical distribution function estimated from all the CNs in the region.
The approach is applied in a group of Slovak and Polish catchments with physiographic conditions representative for
the Carpathian region. The main benefit of introducing a common regional CN is the opportunity to apply this procedure
in catchments of similar soil-physiographic characteristics and to verify the existing tabulated CN. The paper could give
rise to an alternative way of estimating the CN values in forested catchments and catchments with a lack of data or
without observations.
KEY WORDS: Catchment curve number; Homogeneity; Regional frequency analysis.
Address:
- Silvia Kohnová, Slovak University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Department of Land and Water Resources Management, Radlinskeho 11,
81368 Bratislava, Slovak Republic. (Corresponding author. Tel.: Fax.: Email: silvia.kohnova@stuba.sk)
- Agnieszka Rutkowska, Department of Applied Mathematics, University of Agriculture, Balicka 253C, Cracow, Poland.
- Kazimierz Banasik, Department of Water Engineering and Environment Restoration Faculty of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Warsaw University of
Life Sciences-SGGW, Nowoursynowska 166, Warsaw, Poland.
- Kamila Hlavčová, Slovak University of Technology, Faculty of Civil Engineering, Department of Land and Water Resources Management, Radlinskeho 11,
81368 Bratislava, Slovak Republic.
J. Hydrol. Hydromech., Vol. 68, No. 2, 2020, p. 180 - 191, doi: 10.2478/johh-2020-0010
Scientific Paper, English
Ladislav Holko, Patrik Sleziak, Michal Danko, Svetlana Bičárová, Joanna Pociask-Karteczka: Analysis of changes in hydrological cycle of a pristine mountain catchment.
1. Water balance components and snow cover
Full Text in PDF 86 DOWNLOADS
- We analyse water balance, hydrological response, runoff and snow cover characteristics in the Jalovecký
Creek catchment (area 22 km2, mean elevation 1500 m a.s.l.), Slovakia, in hydrological years 1989–2018 to search for
changes in hydrological cycle of a mountain catchment representing hydrology of the highest part of the Western
Carpathians. Daily air temperature data from two meteorological stations located in the studied mountain range (the
Tatra Mountains) at higher elevations show that the study period is 0.1°C to 2.4°C warmer than the climatic standard
period 1951–1980. Precipitation and snow depth data from the same stations do not allow to conclude if the study period
is wetter/drier or has a decreasing snow cover. Clear trends or abrupt changes in the analysed multivariate hydrometric
data time series are not obvious and the oscillations found in catchment runoff are not coherent to those found in
catchment precipitation and air temperature. Several time series (flashiness index, number of flow reversals, annual and
seasonal discharge maxima, runoff coefficients) indicate that hydrological cycle is more dynamic in the last years of the
study period and more precipitation runs off since 2014. The snow cover characteristics and climatic conditions during
the snow accumulation and melting period do not indicate pronounced changes (except the number of days with snowfall
at the Kasprowy Wierch station since 2011). However, some data series (e.g. flow characteristics in March and June,
annual versus summer runoff coefficients since 2014) suggest the changes in the cold period of the year.
KEY WORDS: Mountain catchment; Hydrological cycle; Time series.
Address:
- Ladislav Holko, Institute of Hydrology of the Slovak Academy of Sciences, Dúbravská cesta 9, 841 04 Bratislava, Slovakia. (Corresponding author. Tel.: Fax.: Email: holko@uh.savba.sk)
- Patrik Sleziak, Institute of Hydrology of the Slovak Academy of Sciences, Dúbravská cesta 9, 841 04 Bratislava, Slovakia.
- Michal Danko, Institute of Hydrology of the Slovak Academy of Sciences, Dúbravská cesta 9, 841 04 Bratislava, Slovakia.
- Svetlana Bičárová, Institute of Earth Sciences of the Slovak Academy of Sciences, Dúbravská cesta 9, 840 05 Bratislava, Slovakia.
- Joanna Pociask-Karteczka, Institute of Geography and Spatial Management, Jagielonian University Krakow, ul. Gronostajowa 7, PL 30-387 Krakow, Poland.
J. Hydrol. Hydromech., Vol. 68, No. 2, 2020, p. 192 - 199, doi: 10.2478/johh-2020-0011
Scientific Paper, English
Ladislav Holko, Michal Danko, Patrik Sleziak: Analysis of changes in hydrological cycle of a pristine mountain catchment.
2. Isotopic data, trend and attribution analyses
Full Text in PDF 53 DOWNLOADS
- δ18O in precipitation at station Liptovský Mikuláš (about 8.5 km south from the outlet of the Jalovecký Creek
catchment) remains constantly higher since 2014 that might be related to greater evaporation in the region of origin of
the air masses bringing precipitation to the studied part of central Europe. Increased δ18O values are reflected also in the
Jalovecký Creek catchment runoff. Seasonality of δ18O in the Jalovecký Creek became less pronounced since 2014. The
most significant trends found in annual hydrological data series from the catchment in the study period 1989–2018 have
the correlation coefficients 0.4 to 0.7. These trends are found in the number of flow reversals (change from increasing to
decreasing discharge and vice versa), June low flow, number of simple runoff events in summer months (June to September)
and the flashiness index. The attribution analysis suggests that drivers responsible for the changes in these data
series include the number of periods with precipitation six and more days long, total precipitation amount in February to
June, number of days with precipitation in June to September and total precipitation in May on days with daily totals 10
mm and more, respectively. The coefficients of determination show that linear regressions between the drivers and supposedly
changed data series explain only about 31% to 36% of the variability. Most of the change points detected in the
time series by the Wild Binary Segmentation method occur in the second and third decades of the study period. Both
hydrometric and isotopic data indicate that hydrological cycle in the catchment after 2014 became different than before.
KEY WORDS: Oxygen isotope in precipitation and runoff; Time series; Trends and break points.
Address:
- Ladislav Holko, Institute of Hydrology of the Slovak Academy of Sciences, Dúbravská cesta 9, 841 04 Bratislava, Slovakia. (Corresponding author. Tel.: Fax.: Email: holko@uh.savba.sk)
- Michal Danko, Institute of Hydrology of the Slovak Academy of Sciences, Dúbravská cesta 9, 841 04 Bratislava, Slovakia.
- Patrik Sleziak, Institute of Hydrology of the Slovak Academy of Sciences, Dúbravská cesta 9, 841 04 Bratislava, Slovakia.
J. Hydrol. Hydromech., Vol. 68, No. 2, 2020, p. 200 - 210, doi: 10.2478/johh-2020-0016
Scientific Paper, English
Péter Csáki, Kitti Gyimóthy, Péter Kalicz, Ján Szolgay, Katalin Anita Zagyvai-Kiss, Zoltán Gribovszki: Multi-model climatic water balance prediction in the Zala River Basin
(Hungary) based on a modified Budyko framework
Full Text in PDF 48 DOWNLOADS
- Providing information on the impacts of climate change on hydrological processes is becoming ever more
critical. Modelling and evaluating the expected changes of the water resources over different spatial and time scales can
be useful in several fields, e.g. agriculture, forestry and water management. Previously a Budyko-type spatially distributed
long-term climate-runoff model was developed for Hungary. This research includes the validation of the model using
historical precipitation and streamflow measurements for three nested sub-catchments of the Zala River Basin (Hungary),
an essential runoff contributing region to Lake Balaton (the largest shallow lake in Central Europe). The differences
between the calculated (from water balance) and the estimated (by the model) mean annual evapotranspiration varied
between 0.4% and 3.6% in the validation periods in the sub-catchments examined. Predictions of the main components
of the water balance (evapotranspiration and runoff) for the Zala Basin are also presented in this study using precipitation
and temperature results of 12 regional climate model simulations (A1B scenario) as input data. According to the projections,
the mean annual temperature will be higher from period to period (2011–2040, 2041–2070, 2071–2100), while the
change of the annual precipitation sum is not significant. The mean annual evapotranspiration rate is expected to increase
slightly during the 21st century, while for runoff a substantial decrease can be anticipated which may exceed 40% by
2071–2100 relative to the reference period (1981–2010). As a result of this predicted reduction, the runoff from the Zala
Basin may not be enough to balance the increased evaporation rate of Lake Balaton, transforming it into a closed lake
without outflow.
KEY WORDS: Evapotranspiration; Runoff; Budyko-model; Water balance; Climate change.
Address:
- Péter Csáki, Institute of Geomatics and Civil Engineering, University of Sopron, Bajcsy-Zsilinszky street 4., Sopron, H-9400, Hungary. (Corresponding author. Tel.:+36 99 518-146 Fax.: Email: csaki.peter@uni-sopron.hu)
- Kitti Gyimóthy, Institute of Geomatics and Civil Engineering, University of Sopron, Bajcsy-Zsilinszky street 4., Sopron, H-9400, Hungary.
- Péter Kalicz, Institute of Geomatics and Civil Engineering, University of Sopron, Bajcsy-Zsilinszky street 4., Sopron, H-9400, Hungary.
- Ján Szolgay, Department of Land and Water Resources Management, Slovak University of Technology, Radlinského 11, 810 05, Bratislava, Slovakia.
- Katalin Anita Zagyvai-Kiss, Institute of Geomatics and Civil Engineering, University of Sopron, Bajcsy-Zsilinszky street 4., Sopron, H-9400, Hungary.
- Zoltán Gribovszki, Institute of Geomatics and Civil Engineering, University of Sopron, Bajcsy-Zsilinszky street 4., Sopron, H-9400, Hungary.